
The roar of the crowd, the crunch of the pads, and the palpable tension of a new season are almost upon us. Week 1 of the 2025 NFL campaign promises to deliver immediate fireworks, with several compelling matchups that could set the tone for the entire year. From critical divisional clashes to intriguing quarterback debuts, the opening slate is packed with storylines and betting opportunities. SportsLine’s advanced computer model, known for its consistent success, has meticulously analyzed every game and identified five prime NFL best bets, offering a tantalizing parlay that could return a staggering 25-1 payout.
Bengals Face Early Test Against Flacco-Led Browns
The pressure cooker is on from Day 1 for the Cincinnati Bengals as they journey to Cleveland to kick off their 2025 season on Sunday. Quarterback Joe Burrow, who delivered a near-MVP performance in 2024, will be eager to lead his team back to the playoffs after narrowly missing out last year despite a strong five-game winning streak to close the season. Their opponents, the Cleveland Browns, have named veteran Joe Flacco as their Week 1 starter, adding an intriguing layer to this AFC North rivalry.
The Bengals enter the game as 5.5-point favorites, but a historical note of caution lingers: Burrow holds a career record of just 3-5 against the Browns. Bettors eyeing this matchup for their Week 1 NFL parlay picks will need to weigh Burrow’s individual brilliance against his past struggles in Cleveland. The over/under for total points is set at 47.5, suggesting an expectation of offensive fireworks.

Rodgers vs. Former Team: Steelers Battle Jets
Another captivating Week 1 narrative unfolds as Aaron Rodgers prepares to face his former team when the Pittsburgh Steelers visit the New York Jets. The latest Week 1 NFL odds peg the Steelers as 2.5-point road favorites, a testament to their perceived strength. Interestingly, the over/under for total points in this contest is a modest 38.5, making it the only game on the Week 1 slate with a total below 40. This low total suggests a defensive battle is anticipated, or perhaps lingering questions about offensive consistency for both sides.
For those crafting their Week 1 NFL bets, the question looms: Which side holds the value in this intriguing matchup? And which way should you lean on the NFL odds for this defensive-minded affair? Before making any final decisions, consulting expert predictions, such as those from SportsLine’s proven computer model, could prove invaluable.
SportsLine’s Model: A Track Record of Success
SportsLine’s proprietary computer model, which meticulously simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, has established itself as a reliable source for top-rated NFL picks. Since its inception, the model has delivered impressive returns, accumulating well over $7,000 for $100 players. In 2024 alone, it boasted a remarkable 31-15 record on top-rated picks, demonstrating its accuracy and predictive power. Bettors who followed its NFL betting picks on various sportsbooks and betting sites undoubtedly reaped significant rewards.
Now, the model has delved into the Week 1 NFL odds and identified five confident NFL best bets. Combining these selections into a successful parlay could lead to an extraordinary payout of nearly 25-1. Access to these exclusive Week 1 NFL picks and NFL parlays is available only at SportsLine. Additionally, new users can leverage the DraftKings promo code, which offers $300 in bonus bets instantly, plus over $200 off NFL Sunday Ticket.
Commanders Poised for Dominance in A-Rated Pick
After simulating every game 10,000 times, the model is particularly bullish on the Washington Commanders (-6, 45.5) to cover the spread against the New York Giants. Washington’s impressive run last season saw them reach the NFC Championship Game, largely propelled by the stellar play of second-year quarterback Jayden Daniels. Daniels was a revelation in 2024, completing 69% of his passes for 3,568 yards, tossing 25 touchdowns against just nine interceptions.

His commanding performance in a 45-31 divisional round victory over the Detroit Lions showcased his potential, where he completed 22 of 31 passes for 299 yards and two touchdowns without an interception. Adding to the team’s stability, star receiver Terry McLaurin has signed a new contract after some offseason drama, ensuring his presence in the lineup for the opener.
The Commanders swept both meetings against the Giants last season, and the model projects them to cover the spread in over 60% of simulations, designating this as an A-rated pick. To discover which other NFL parlay picks to make and to bet the Commanders to cover, visit SportsLine.

Uncovering Underdog Value and More
Beyond the Commanders’ strong showing, the model has identified four other NFL matchups where it believes the betting lines are significantly misaligned. This includes a compelling underdog pick that the model predicts will not only cover the spread but win outright. These valuable insights and the full Week 1 NFL best bets and NFL parlay are exclusively available at SportsLine.

What are the model’s top Week 1 NFL picks? Which NFL matchups should you target to unlock that epic 25-1 payout? Visit SportsLine now to access the Week 1 NFL best bets from a model that boasts an impressive 31-15 run on top-rated picks, and find out how to maximize your betting strategy for the start of the 2025 NFL season.
