Sophia
The SI Betting team continues its hot streak with anytime touchdown scorer picks, delivering profitable results each week. As Week 4 of the 2025 NFL season kicks off, featuring the first European game of the season, our experts Peter Dewey and Iain MacMillan have identified two intriguing players poised to find the end zone: Green Bay Packers rookie wide receiver Matthew Golden and Buffalo Bills running back Ray Davis.
Last week, Peter Dewey successfully cashed in on Seattle Seahawks star Jaxon Smith-Njigba, while Iain MacMillan’s pick of Daniel Jones fell short. Despite a 1-for-2 week, the plus-money plays ensured profitability. This week, the focus shifts to Sunday’s slate, with compelling matchups and significant storylines across the league.
Expert Picks for Week 4 Anytime Touchdown Scorers
Here are the top anytime touchdown scorer picks from the SI Betting team for Week 4, with odds provided by DraftKings Sportsbook:
- Matthew Golden Anytime TD (+210) – Peter Dewey
- Ray Davis Anytime TD (+310) – Iain MacMillan
Matthew Golden: Primed for a Breakout Against Dallas
Matthew Golden Anytime TD (+210) – Peter Dewey
For Green Bay Packers rookie wide receiver Matthew Golden, Week 4 presents an ideal scenario to score his first NFL touchdown. The Packers are set to face a struggling Dallas Cowboys defense that has been particularly vulnerable through the air, allowing seven passing touchdowns this season. This includes three to Russell Wilson and four to Caleb Williams in their last two outings. The Cowboys’ defense currently ranks 31st in the league in EPA/Pass, indicating a significant advantage for Jordan Love and the Packers’ passing game.
With key receivers Jayden Reed and Christian Watson sidelined due to injuries, the Packers are in dire need of a playmaker to step up. While tight end Tucker Kraft showed promise in Week 2, a knee tweak limited his production in Week 3. This opened the door for Golden, the team’s first-round pick, to emerge as a primary target.
In Week 3, Golden saw a season-high 70.8% of Green Bay’s offensive snaps, catching four passes for 52 yards and adding nine rushing yards on three carries. Although his season totals are modest with six catches for 68 yards, his increased snap count and the absence of other key receivers signal an expanded role. At +210 odds, Golden offers excellent value against a porous Cowboys secondary, making him a compelling pick to find the end zone.
Ray Davis: The Blowout Back with Value
Ray Davis Anytime TD (+310) – Iain MacMillan
Iain MacMillan’s strategy for longshot touchdown bets often involves targeting backup running backs in games expected to be blowouts. Week 4 provides a perfect opportunity with the Buffalo Bills facing the New Orleans Saints. The Bills are significant favorites, potentially the largest spread of the NFL season, suggesting a comfortable victory.
In such scenarios, backup running backs often see increased playing time in the second half as teams look to manage their lead and reduce the workload on their starters. Ray Davis, the Bills’ backup running back, played 26.7% of offensive snaps in their dominant 30-10 victory over the Jets in Week 2. This usage highlights his potential to get touches, especially near the goal line, if the Bills establish a substantial lead.
At north of 3-1 odds (+310), Davis offers significant value as a touchdown scorer. His potential for increased late-game usage in a lopsided contest makes him an attractive longshot bet for Week 4.
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Published 1 Minute Ago
About the Authors:
PETER DEWEY
Peter is a senior editor for Sports Illustrated Betting. He has worked as a writer and editor for BetSided, NBC Sports, the Connecticut Sun and the Meriden Record-Journal covering the NBA, WNBA, NFL, MLB, and more. A New York City resident, he is a hoops fanatic with a soft spot for his New York Knicks. Follow @peterdewey2
IAIN MACMILLAN
Originally from Nova Scotia, Iain MacMillan is a senior editor covering betting, with a focus on NFL, NHL, and golf. He hosts the Bacon Bets Podcast and has been featured on VSIN, BetQL and Monumental Sports Network. He is a member of the Metropolitan Golf Writers Association and his beloved Falcons and Maple Leafs break his heart on a yearly basis. Follow @iainmacbets
