Sophia
The New York Giants, a team steeped in NFL history, find themselves at a crucial juncture as the 2025 season approaches. After a promising start under head coach Brian Daboll in 2022, the franchise has seen a precipitous decline, raising questions about its immediate future and the direction of its rebuild. What began with a surprising Wild Card berth and Coach of the Year honors for Daboll, fueled by Daniel Jones’ league-best 1.1% interception rate, has devolved into a struggle for relevance.
Fast forward to 2025, and the optimism has waned considerably. The Giants managed only six wins in 2023 and a dismal three last year. Daboll’s offenses have consistently languished in the bottom three in scoring, and the once-promising Daniel Jones, when healthy, failed to replicate his 2022 form. The team eventually parted ways with their 2019 first-round pick during the 2024 season, signaling a significant shift in philosophy. This offseason saw the arrival of veteran quarterbacks Russell Wilson and Jameis Winston, followed by a strategic trade-up in the first round to secure Jaxson Dart as the franchise’s future signal-caller.
The immediate fate of Daboll’s tenure may hinge on Russell Wilson’s performance. Despite a relatively successful playoff-bound season in Pittsburgh, Wilson, who turns 37 this year, is no longer the perennial double-digit win machine he was with the Seahawks. His primary task will be to stave off Father Time while Jaxson Dart develops. The Giants made minimal notable additions to the rest of the offense, focusing on Day 3 picks and depth free agents, leaving many to wonder just how much any quarterback can achieve behind a seemingly unchanged offensive line.
As we delve into the Giants’ prospects for 2025, we’ll examine their tumultuous 2024 season, their offseason maneuvers, and their historical performance in NFL futures markets. We’ll then explore the latest odds for their win total, Super Bowl aspirations, and playoff chances, alongside key player props. Finally, we’ll weigh the pros and cons of betting on the Giants this season and offer our expert picks.
2024 New York Giants Season Review: A Year to Forget
- Regular season: 3-14 (Last, NFC East)
- Playoffs: Missed
- Most losses in franchise history (14)
- Nine wins in last 2 seasons (following nine wins in 2022, first under HC Brian Daboll)
- Only team in NFL history to average one or fewer pass TD and 30-plus attempts per game in five straight seasons
2025 New York Giants Offseason Review: Shaking Up the Roster
The Giants made several significant personnel changes this offseason, particularly at quarterback, in an attempt to inject new life into the struggling offense and bolster the defense.
| Position | Lost | Added | Drafted |
|---|---|---|---|
| QB | Drew Lock, Tim Boyle | Russell Wilson, Jameis Winston | Jaxson Dart (1) |
| RB | Cam Skattebo (4) | ||
| WR | Gunner Olszewski | Zach Pascal, Lil’Jordan Humphrey, Montrell Washington | x |
| TE | Darren Waller | Thomas Fidone (7) | |
| OL | Chris Hubbard | James Hudson, Stone Forsythe | Marcus Mbow (5) |
| DL | Armon Watts | Roy Robertson-Harris, Jeremiah Ledbetter | Darius Alexander (3) |
| EDGE | Azeez Ojulari | Chauncey Golston, Victor Dimukeje | Abdul Carter (1) |
| LB | Isaiah Simmons, Matthew Adams, Patrick Johnson | Chris Board, Demetrius Flannigan-Fowles | |
| CB | Adoree’ Jackson, Elijah Riley, Greg Stroman, Divaad Wilson | Paulson Adebo, Nic Jones | Korie Black (7) |
| S | Jason Pinnock | Jevon Holland |
Five-Year Futures Odds and Trends: A Consistent Underperformer
The Giants have consistently fallen short of expectations in recent years, particularly regarding their win totals. This historical data provides a sobering backdrop for their 2025 outlook.
| Year | Super Bowl odds | Win total | Result | Actual wins | Finish |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | +20000 | 6.5 | Under | 3 | 4th, NFC East |
| 2023 | +4800 | 7.5 | Under | 6 | 3rd, NFC East |
| 2022 | +11800 | 7.5 | Over | 9 | L, Divisional round |
| 2021 | +8000 | 7 | Under | 4 | 4th, NFC East |
| 2020 | +10000 | 6.5 | Under | 6 | 2nd, NFC East |
Historical betting data via Pro-Football-Reference.
2025 New York Giants Futures Odds: Long Shots Across the Board
The betting markets reflect a general lack of confidence in the Giants’ ability to contend this season, with long odds for Super Bowl, NFC, and even NFC East titles.
| Odds to … | BetMGM | Caesars | DraftKings | FanDuel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Go Over win total | 5.5 (-120) | 5.5 (-105) | 5.5 (-130) | 5.5 (-105) |
| Go Under win total | 5.5 (+100) | 5.5 (-115) | 5.5 (+110) | 5.5 (-115) |
| Win Super Bowl | +20000 | +20000 | +15000 | +20000 |
| Win NFC | +10000 | +10000 | +6000 | +10000 |
| Win NFC East | +2200 | +2600 | +1800 | +2200 |
| Make playoffs | +600 | +800 | +500 | +710 |
| Miss playoffs | -1000 | -1400 | -750 | -1250 |
| Win No. 1 seed | +12500 | +12500 | +10000 |
Odds subject to change.
2025 Malik Nabers Props: A Rising Star’s Potential
Despite the team’s struggles, wide receiver Malik Nabers offers an intriguing individual betting opportunity, reflecting his potential as a breakout player.
| BetMGM | Caesars | DraftKings | FanDuel | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MVP | +25000 | +30000 | +30000 | +40000 |
| Offensive POY | +3000 | +3500 | +3500 | +3500 |
| Most rec yards | +1300 | +1100 | +1000 | |
| Rec yards O/U | 1150.5 | 1150.5 | 1150.5 | |
| Rec TDs O/U | 7.5 | 7.5 | 7.5 |
Odds subject to change.
Reasons to Back the Giants: Glimmers of Hope
While the overall outlook is bleak, there are a few reasons for cautious optimism for those looking to bet on the Giants:
- Quarterback Upgrade: Russell Wilson, even in his later years, represents a significant upgrade over recent Giants’ quarterback play. His experience and ability to extend plays could stabilize the offense.
- Emerging Skill Talent: The Giants possess competent skill players in Tyrone Tracy Jr., Malik Nabers, and Wan’Dale Robinson. If Wilson can effectively distribute the ball, this group could produce.
- Jaxson Dart’s Potential: The first-round pick, Jaxson Dart, showed flashes of promise in preseason. If he develops quickly, he could provide a much-needed spark and potentially take over as starter sooner than expected.
- Defensive Line Strength: New York’s defensive line is expected to be a force, particularly if Abdul Carter, their highly-touted draft pick, lives up to his early potential. A strong pass rush can elevate the entire defense.
- Overlooked Talent: Despite their low win total, some argue the Giants have more talent than a mere five-win team, suggesting an opportunity for an “over” bet if things break right.
Reasons to Fade the Giants: A Gauntlet of a Schedule and Persistent Issues
The arguments against betting on the Giants are compelling and numerous, largely centered around a brutal schedule and lingering roster deficiencies:
- Brutal Schedule: The Giants face an incredibly challenging slate, including six tough divisional games against the Cowboys (a playoff contender), a developing Commanders team with Jayden Daniels, and the defending champion Eagles. Beyond the division, road games against the Broncos and Lions, and home matchups with the Chiefs, Chargers, 49ers, and Packers, present formidable obstacles.
- Early Season Gauntlet: There’s a real possibility the Giants could start the season 0-4. They may be fortunate to have more than three wins by their Week 14 bye, as they are projected to be favored in only a handful of games, if any.
- Offensive Line Concerns: The offensive line remains a significant problem. Regardless of the skill players or quarterback, a struggling offensive line will hinder any offensive progress.
- Secondary Overhaul: The Giants made numerous changes in the secondary, which is surprising given they had the eighth-best pass defense in 2024. Facing some of the league’s most prolific aerial attacks, this revamped unit could be overwhelmed.
- Overall Talent Discrepancy: While some see hidden talent, the reality is that the Giants may simply be outmatched by many of their opponents, even if their individual talent level is slightly higher than a five-win team might suggest.
How to Bet the Giants in 2025: Our Expert Picks
Considering the challenging schedule, offensive line issues, and the general uncertainty surrounding the quarterback position, our expert picks lean towards a difficult season for the New York Giants.
- Under 5.5 wins -130 (FanDuel): The schedule is simply brutal. With a questionable offensive line and an unproven quarterback situation (unless Dart vastly exceeds expectations), finding wins will be a monumental task. If they can’t secure a victory against the Saints in New Orleans, their early season schedule, featuring home games against the Chiefs, Chargers, Eagles, 49ers, and Packers before their Week 14 bye, offers very few clear opportunities.
- Fewest wins +600 (DraftKings): While Under 5.5 wins is a solid play, the Giants to have the fewest wins in the league at +600 offers compelling value. They are often listed behind only teams like the Browns and Saints in this prop, despite a schedule that arguably rivals the toughest in the NFL.
- Abdul Carter Defensive Rookie of the Year +250 (BetMGM): On a more positive note, Abdul Carter presents a strong individual betting opportunity. The Defensive Rookie of the Year award frequently goes to top-12 draft picks, as their elite talent and draft status often give them an edge in voters’ minds, even when lower-drafted players might have comparable statistics. Recent winners like Jared Verse (over Braden Fiske despite Fiske’s higher sack total) and Will Anderson (over Kobie Turner) illustrate this trend. As long as the Giants’ defense performs reasonably well as a unit, Carter, as a first-round pick, is well-positioned to be a strong contender for this award, with Mykel Williams likely his stiffest competition.
