Sophia
When Brian Daboll took the reins as head coach of the New York Giants in 2022, the franchise experienced an immediate resurgence. A 7-2 start propelled them to a wild-card berth, earning Daboll Coach of the Year honors and instilling a sense of optimism. Quarterback Daniel Jones, with a league-best 1.1% interception rate, seemed to have found his stride, setting high expectations for the team’s future.
Fast forward to 2025, and that initial promise has largely faded. The Giants managed just six wins in 2023 and a dismal three last year. Daboll’s offenses consistently ranked in the bottom three in scoring, and Jones, even in his healthy games, failed to replicate his 2022 form. The team eventually parted ways with their 2019 first-round pick, ushering in a new era at quarterback with the signings of veteran signal-callers Russell Wilson and Jameis Winston, followed by a trade up in the draft to select Jaxson Dart as the future.
Daboll’s future in New York may hinge on Wilson’s performance as the starter. While Wilson enjoyed a relatively successful season in Pittsburgh, including a playoff appearance, the 37-year-old isn’t the same player who consistently led the Seahawks to double-digit wins. He faces the challenge of holding off Father Time until Dart is ready to take the reins. With no significant offensive additions outside of Day 3 draft picks and depth free agents, questions loom about the offense’s overall potential.
A Look Back: The 2024 Season and Offseason Moves
The 2024 season was one for the franchise history books, though not in a good way. The Giants finished last in the NFC East with a 3-14 record, marking the most losses in franchise history. This dismal performance followed a six-win season in 2023, a stark contrast to Daboll’s nine-win debut. Historically, the Giants have struggled offensively, being the only team in NFL history to average one or fewer passing touchdowns and 30-plus attempts per game in five straight seasons.
The offseason saw significant turnover, particularly at quarterback. Here’s a quick overview:
- Lost: QB Drew Lock, Tim Boyle
- Added: QB Russell Wilson, Jameis Winston
- Drafted: QB Jaxson Dart (1st Round)
Other notable changes include:
- RB: Drafted Cam Skattebo (4th Round)
- WR: Lost Gunner Olszewski; Added Zach Pascal, Lil’Jordan Humphrey, Montrell Washington
- TE: Lost Darren Waller; Drafted Thomas Fidone (7th Round)
- OL: Lost Chris Hubbard; Added James Hudson, Stone Forsythe; Drafted Marcus Mbow (5th Round)
- DL: Lost Armon Watts; Added Roy Robertson-Harris, Jeremiah Ledbetter; Drafted Darius Alexander (3rd Round)
- EDGE: Lost Azeez Ojulari; Added Chauncey Golston, Victor Dimukeje; Drafted Abdul Carter (1st Round)
- LB: Lost Isaiah Simmons, Matthew Adams, Patrick Johnson; Added Chris Board, Demetrius Flannigan-Fowles
- CB: Lost Adoree’ Jackson, Elijah Riley, Greg Stroman, Divaad Wilson; Added Paulson Adebo, Nic Jones; Drafted Korie Black (7th Round)
- S: Lost Jason Pinnock; Added Jevon Holland
Betting on the Giants: Futures Odds and Trends
Analyzing the Giants’ historical betting data reveals a consistent trend of underperformance against their preseason win totals. Over the last five years, they’ve only hit the “over” once, during Daboll’s successful 2022 campaign.
| Year | Super Bowl Odds | Win Total | Result | Actual Wins | Finish |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | +20000 | 6.5 | Under | 3 | 4th, NFC East |
| 2023 | +4800 | 7.5 | Under | 6 | 3rd, NFC East |
| 2022 | +11800 | 7.5 | Over | 9 | L, Divisional round |
| 2021 | +8000 | 7 | Under | 4 | 4th, NFC East |
| 2020 | +10000 | 6.5 | Under | 6 | 2nd, NFC East |
Historical betting data via Pro-Football-Reference.
2025 New York Giants Futures Odds (as of [Current Date])
| Odds to … | BetMGM | Caesars | DraftKings | FanDuel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Go Over win total 5.5 | -120 | -105 | -130 | -105 |
| Go Under win total 5.5 | +100 | -115 | +110 | -115 |
| Win Super Bowl | +20000 | +20000 | +15000 | +20000 |
| Win NFC | +10000 | +10000 | +6000 | +10000 |
| Win NFC East | +2200 | +2600 | +1800 | +2200 |
| Make playoffs | +600 | +800 | +500 | +710 |
| Miss playoffs | -1000 | -1400 | -750 | -1250 |
| Win No. 1 seed | +12500 | +12500 | +10000 |
Odds subject to change.
Key Player Props: Malik Nabers
Rookie wide receiver Malik Nabers is expected to be a central figure in the Giants’ offense. Here are some of his key player props:
| Malik Nabers Props | BetMGM | Caesars | DraftKings | FanDuel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MVP | +25000 | +30000 | +30000 | +40000 |
| Offensive POY | +3000 | +3500 | +3500 | +3500 |
| Most rec yards | +1300 | +1100 | +1000 | |
| Rec yards O/U | 1150.5 | 1150.5 | 1150.5 | |
| Rec TDs O/U | 7.5 | 7.5 | 7.5 |
Odds subject to change.
Reasons to Back the Giants in 2025
Despite recent struggles, there are glimmers of hope for the Giants. Russell Wilson represents a significant upgrade at quarterback, bringing a veteran presence and playoff experience. The team also boasts competent skill players in Tyrone Tracy Jr., Malik Nabers, and Wan’Dale Robinson. First-round pick Jaxson Dart also showed promise in preseason play, suggesting a potential future starter. If Daboll can finally unlock this offense, which ranked 30th in yards per game and 31st in points per game last season, it would be a massive improvement.
On the defensive side, the Giants’ defensive line is poised to pressure opposing quarterbacks, especially if rookie Abdul Carter lives up to his lofty draft status. While a playoff spot might be a long shot, the team’s talent level could exceed their current win total projections.
Reasons to Fade the Giants in 2025
The Giants face an incredibly challenging schedule in 2025. Their six division games against the Cowboys (a potential playoff contender), an improving Commanders team with Jayden Daniels, and the defending champion Eagles will be grueling. Outside the division, road games against the Broncos and Lions, coupled with home matchups against the Chiefs, Chargers, 49ers, and Packers, present a formidable gauntlet.
There’s a real possibility the Giants could start the season 0-4 before visiting the Saints. By their Week 14 bye, securing more than three wins would be an accomplishment, as they are likely to be favored in only a handful of games, if any.
The offensive line remains a significant concern. Regardless of skill position talent, a competent offense starts up front, and the Giants’ line has consistently struggled. Furthermore, the secondary underwent considerable changes despite being the eighth-best pass defense in 2024. Against the formidable pass rushes and prolific aerial attacks they’ll encounter, the Giants could be overwhelmed, even with an improved talent level.
2025 New York Giants Best Bets
- Under 5.5 wins -130 (FanDuel): The brutal schedule, questionable offensive line, and uncertain quarterback situation (unless Dart vastly exceeds expectations) make this a compelling bet. With a home schedule featuring the Chiefs, Chargers, Eagles, 49ers, and Packers before their Week 14 bye, early wins will be hard to come by.
- Fewest wins +600 (DraftKings): Given the difficulty of their schedule, the Giants are often ranked third behind teams like the Browns and Saints for this prop. This offers strong value considering their potential struggles.
- Abdul Carter Defensive Rookie of the Year +250 (BetMGM): The Defensive Rookie of the Year award often favors top-12 draft picks, who benefit from voter perception and early opportunities. While Mykel Williams is a strong contender, if the Giants’ defense performs well, Carter, as a first-round pick, has a strong chance to be recognized. Recent winners like Jared Verse (over teammate Braden Fiske with more sacks) and Will Anderson (over Kobie Turner) illustrate this trend.
