Sophia
After a thrilling end to the 2023 season, which saw them narrowly miss an upset against the top-seeded 49ers in the Divisional Round, expectations for the Green Bay Packers soared heading into 2024. Quarterback Jordan Love, in his inaugural season as a starter, captivated fans with an MVP-caliber performance late in 2023 and a stellar playoff showing. Despite being touted as a Super Bowl contender, the 2024 season presented a mixed bag for Green Bay, marked by a disappointing 1-5 record within the NFC North and an early exit in the Wild Card Round against the eventual champion Philadelphia Eagles.
While the Packers struggled in divisional play in 2024, losing five games to NFC North rivals compared to just one outside the division, their overall performance showcased significant improvements. Green Bay ranked an impressive fifth in both offensive yards gained and defensive yards allowed. The defensive turnaround was particularly noteworthy, as the unit had been a persistent Achilles’ heel in previous seasons. Despite the sting of the playoff loss to the Eagles, the Packers managed to limit Philadelphia’s high-powered offense more effectively than most teams during their championship run.
Jordan Love’s Pivotal Role in 2025
The key to the Packers’ success in 2025 hinges on Jordan Love replicating his dominant form from the close of the 2023 season, rather than his more inconsistent, injury-affected 2024 campaign. In 2024, Love averaged 225.9 passing yards per game with a 63.1% completion rate, throwing 25 touchdowns against eight interceptions. Contrastingly, his final eight games of 2023 saw him average 268.3 yards per game, completing 70.3% of his passes, a pace that projected to 38 touchdowns and just two interceptions over a full 17-game season.
Green Bay also made a rare move in April, drafting first-round wide receiver Matthew Golden. If Golden can emerge as the true No. 1 receiver the offense has lacked since Davante Adams’ departure, the Packers’ offensive upside for 2025 is immense. Furthermore, the franchise pulled off a stunning trade before the season, sending Kenny Clark and two first-round picks to the Cowboys for disgruntled pass rusher Micah Parsons, who sought a new contract outside Dallas.
2024 Season Review and Offseason Moves
The 2024 Green Bay Packers concluded their regular season with an 11-6 record, finishing third in the NFC North. Their playoff journey was cut short by a 22-10 Wild Card Round loss to the Eagles. A telling stat from their season: Green Bay went 11-1 against teams with 10 or fewer wins, but a stark 0-6 against teams with 11+ wins, including the playoffs. Notably, the 2024 Packers were the second-youngest playoff team in the last 45 seasons, a testament to their youthful core.
However, Jordan Love faced a challenging moment in the playoffs, becoming the first player in Green Bay history to record zero touchdowns and three-plus interceptions in a playoff game.
2025 Green Bay Packers Offseason Transactions:
- Lost: RB AJ Dillon, TE Tyler Davis, OL Josh Myers, Andre Dillard, DL T.J. Slaton, LB Eric Wilson, CB Jaire Alexander, Eric Stokes, Corey Ballentine, Robert Rochell, S Adrian Amos
- Added: WR Mecole Hardman, TE Aaron Banks, Trey Hill, DL Nesta Jade Silvera, Cameron Young, Keith Randolph, LB Isaiah Simmons, Kristian Welch, CB Nate Hobbs, Isaiah Dunn, Gregory Junior, S Jordan Whitehead
- Drafted: WR Mathew Golden (1), Savion Williams (3), OL Anthony Belton (2), Todd Williams (7), DL Warren Brinson (6), EDGE Barryn Sorrell (4), Collin Oliver (5), CB Micah Robinson (7)
Historical Betting Trends and 2025 Futures Odds
Analyzing the Packers’ performance against futures odds over the last five years provides valuable context for their 2025 outlook:
| Year | Super Bowl Odds | Win Total | Result | Actual Wins | Finish |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | +1600 | 10 | Over | 11 | L, Wild-card round |
| 2023 | +5000 | 7.5 | Over | 9 | L, Divisional round |
| 2022 | +1120 | 10.5 | Under | 8 | 3rd, NFC North |
| 2021 | +1400 | 10.5 | Over | 13 | L, Divisional round |
| 2020 | +3000 | 8.5 | Over | 13 | L, NFC Championship |
Historical betting data via Pro-Football-Reference.
2025 Green Bay Packers Futures Odds:
| Odds to … | BetMGM | Caesars | DraftKings | FanDuel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Go Over win total | 9.5 (-120) | 10.5 (+126) | 10.5 (+105) | 10.5 (+100) |
| Go Under win total | 9.5 (+100) | 10.5 (-150) | 10.5 (-125) | 10.5 (-120) |
| Win Super Bowl | +1300 | +1600 | +1400 | +1200 |
| Win NFC | +650 | +750 | +700 | +600 |
| Win NFC North | +180 | +190 | +175 | +170 |
| Make playoffs | -200 | -160 | -165 | -194 |
| Miss playoffs | +165 | +35 | +135 | +156 |
| Win No. 1 seed | +1000 | +750 | +600 |
Odds subject to change.
2025 Jordan Love Player Props:
| BetMGM | Caesars | DraftKings | FanDuel | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MVP | +2500 | +2200 | +2500 | +2500 |
| Offensive POY | +10000 | +10000 | +12000 | |
| Most pass yards | +1800 | +2000 | +2000 | +1900 |
| Pass yards O/U | 3650.5 | 3575.5 | 3600.5 | 3600.5 |
| Pass TDs O/U | 25.5 | 24.5 | 25.5 | 25.5 |
Odds subject to change.
Reasons to Back the Packers in 2025
Green Bay, a franchise traditionally conservative with blockbuster moves, has signaled a new era with the acquisition of Micah Parsons. This stunning deal injects immediate star power and leadership into the defense, with Parsons now expected to elevate the unit to elite status. The addition of first-round receiver Matthew Golden is also a significant boost, providing a deep threat that should open up the field for Jayden Reed, Romeo Doubs, and other playmakers.
Jordan Love’s late-season form in 2023 was nothing short of spectacular. Over the last seven games of that season (including a brief appearance in Week 18 against Chicago), he threw nine touchdowns and zero interceptions, showcasing the potential of an elite quarterback. If he can consistently tap into that rhythm, the Packers’ offense will be formidable.
The NFC North itself presents an intriguing landscape. While it was arguably the best division in football last year with three teams achieving 10+ wins, the Lions have lost both coordinators, the Bears are still finding their footing, and the Vikings are integrating a new quarterback. The Packers, with their continuity, across-the-board improvements, and infusion of game-breaking talent on both sides, are well-positioned to seize control. The message from the franchise is clear: Green Bay is building to win a Super Bowl in 2025.
Reasons to Fade the Packers in 2025
While not the most arduous, the Packers’ 2025 schedule is far from a cakewalk. Non-divisional road trips to Arizona and Denver add complexity, and the latter half of the season presents a particularly brutal stretch. Five of their divisional games are slated from Week 12 onwards, alongside the Broncos trip and a challenging home game against the Ravens. A strong start, especially a home matchup against the Lions in Week 1, could be crucial in determining their Super Bowl contender status.
Another potential hurdle for the Packers in a tough division is the inconsistency of Jordan Love. While his brilliance in the latter half of seasons has been encouraging, his playoff performance against the Eagles, where he threw three interceptions after seven consecutive pick-free games, raises concerns. A “dud” performance of that magnitude could linger with a young quarterback entering the subsequent season, impacting his confidence and decision-making.
How to Bet the Packers in 2025: Our Top Picks
I was bullish on the Packers last season, and I believe their underlying success is being somewhat overshadowed by the strong runs of the Lions and Vikings. Despite losing five of their six divisional games, only one was by more than three points, and that particular loss involved a Love pick-six that swung momentum in a 10-point defeat to the NFC’s top team. The baseline level of play for this team is high, and I view them as much closer to the Lions in talent than current market valuations suggest.
- Over 9.5 wins +105 (FanDuel): Given their talent and potential, this feels like a solid bet.
- Make playoffs -112 (FanDuel): With their improved roster, a playoff berth is highly probable.
- Win NFC North +275 (BetMGM): The divisional landscape offers a real opportunity for Green Bay to emerge victorious.
- Jordan Love Over 3550.5 passing yards -115 (Caesars): Love amassed 4,159 passing yards in his first full season as a starter and was on pace for 3,841 last year despite missing two games. With a strong offensive line and an improved receiving corps, he has a great chance to surpass this total. The competitive nature of the NFC North will likely prevent the Packers from resting starters in Week 18, further boosting his opportunity to play all 17 games.
Additionally, I recommend a small play on the Packers to win the Super Bowl. With odds of +2200 at both BetMGM and FanDuel, their ceiling is as high as any team in the NFC, making it a compelling long-shot wager. For more insights into betting on the Packers, including detailed analysis of their Super Bowl odds and player props, check out this authoritative guide on CBSSports.com.
