NFL Survivor Pool Strategy: Why You Should Avoid the Cardinals in Week 1, 2025

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As the 2025 NFL season rapidly approaches, football enthusiasts and survivor pool players are meticulously planning their Week 1 strategies. With the Dallas Cowboys trading star linebacker Micah Parsons, many eyes are turning to the Philadelphia Eagles (-7.5) as a seemingly safe bet against their division rivals. However, is this the optimal move, or are there hidden pitfalls in an early Eagles pick?

The landscape of Week 1 presents several intriguing matchups for survivor pool contenders, including the Arizona Cardinals vs. New Orleans Saints, the Denver Broncos vs. Tennessee Titans, and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Atlanta Falcons. Navigating these choices requires careful consideration, especially when aiming for long-term success in eliminator pools.

Before you lock in any Week 1 NFL survivor picks, it’s crucial to consult expert analysis. The SportsLine Projection Model, renowned for its accuracy, has crunched the numbers and identified a team to avoid, as well as a surprising must-pick. This model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, boasts an impressive track record, generating well over $7,000 for $100 players since its inception and going 31-15 on top-rated picks in 2024. Its insights are invaluable for dominating the survivor pool format, where picking one winning team each week without repetition is key.

Kyler Murray Arizona Cardinals
Image source: CBSSports.com

Why the Arizona Cardinals Are a Risky Week 1 Pick

Despite coming off an 8-9 season and entering their Week 1 matchup against the New Orleans Saints as 6.5-point favorites, the SportsLine model strongly advises against picking the Arizona Cardinals. While fading the Saints might seem like a popular Week 1 strategy, the Cardinals’ road performance in 2024 (a dismal 2-6 record) and their late-season slump (losing five of their last seven games) raise significant red flags.

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James Conner Arizona Cardinals
Image source: CBSSports.com

The Saints, despite a disappointing 5-12 overall record last year, secured three of their victories on their home turf. Furthermore, New Orleans, now led by starting quarterback Spencer Rattler, has historically performed well against Arizona, winning five of their last eight head-to-head matchups dating back to 2007. The Cardinals have only covered the spread in three of those contests, indicating consistently competitive games.

Marvin Harrison Cardinals
Image source: CBSSports.com

The SportsLine model projects only a field goal difference between these two teams, with the Cardinals winning a mere 57% of simulations. This narrow margin makes Arizona an uncomfortably risky Week 1 NFL survivor pick, especially when aiming to preserve your eligibility for future weeks.

The Undisclosed Must-Pick for Week 1

Instead of the Cardinals, the SportsLine model has confidently endorsed a surprising team to win outright in nearly 80% of its simulations. This pick is a critical early-season advantage for any survivor pool player. To discover which team the model is backing and secure your Week 1 victory, you’ll need to visit SportsLine.

NFL Survivor Pool Picks
Image source: CBSSports.com

Additionally, new users can take advantage of the DraftKings promo code, which offers $200 in bonus bets instantly, plus over $200 off NFL Sunday Ticket. For those looking for another great offer, the latest FanDuel promo code provides $300 in bonus bets instantly.

Final Thoughts

Making informed decisions in NFL survivor pools is paramount. While popular picks like the Eagles might seem appealing, deeper analysis, especially from advanced models like SportsLine’s, can reveal hidden dangers and lucrative opportunities. Avoid the trap of the Arizona Cardinals in Week 1 and instead leverage expert insights to ensure your early success in the 2025 season.

See also  NFL Week 1 Survivor Pool: Avoid the Cardinals, Trust the Model
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